NCAA Tournament Projections: Who Is A Good Bet?
Find out the chances for each Mountain West team to make the NCAA Tournament.
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There is a new way to determine NCAA Tournament bids
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The NCAA Tournament selection committee has made some changes to how they select teams. Gone are the days of only using RPI only to determine which teams are worthy. (Read our intro here)
These changes weigh road and home games differently and four RPI groups, plus KenPom, RPI and BPI are metrics, too.
| RPI Group 1: Home (1-30) | Neutral (1-50) | Away (1-75) |
| RPI Group 2: Home (31-75) | Neutral (51-100) | Away (76-135) |
| RPI Group 3: Home (76-160 | Neutral (101-200) | Away (136-240) |
| RPI Group 4: Home (161-351) | Neutral (201-351) | Away (241-351) |
The order below is alphabetically. (You may need to scroll to the right to see all the rankings)
| Team | Record (D1-only) | RPI | Group 1 | Group 2 | Group 3 | Group 4 | SOS | KenPom | BPI | Sagarin |
| Air Force | 4-8 | 318 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 336 | 301 | 296 | 291 |
| Boise State | 11-2 | 27 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 69 | 59 | 56 | 37 |
| Colorado State | 7-8 | 138 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 67 | 193 | 234 | 180 |
| Fresno State | 9-4 | 155 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 6-0 | 248 | 82 | 77 | 107 |
| Nevada | 13-3 | 17 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 6-1 | 4-0 | 40 | 29 | 19 | 23 |
| New Mexico | 5-9 | 210 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 68 | 171 | 139 | 184 |
| San Diego State | 9-4 | 51 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 51 | 61 | 70 | 34 |
| San Jose State | 2-10 | 302 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-8 | 2-1 | 228 | 296 | 292 | 287 |
| UNLV | 11-3 | 114 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 6-0 | 236 | 67 | 62 | 36 |
| Utah State | 7-7 | 219 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 5-1 | 259 | 146 | 129 | 147 |
| Wyoming | 9-4 | 75 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 94 | 104 | 156 | 85 |