Daily NCAA Tournament Projections: An Introduction

Daily NCAA Tournament Projections: An Introduction

Wyoming

Daily NCAA Tournament Projections: An Introduction

Daily NCAA Tournament Projections: An Introduction


Find out the chances for each Mountain West team to make the NCAA Tournament


Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire

There is a new way to earn an NCAA Tournament bid

The NCAA Tournament selection committee has made some changes to how they select teams. Gone are the days of only using RPI only to determine fine team is worthy.

Road games are being weighed more and a quality road win expands to the 75th RPI team. This helps out the Mountain West, and other non-power leagues, which struggle to get quality opponents at home.

Also, a change is now allowing advanced stats to be used officially  like KenPom ESPN BPI and others in addition to the outdated RPI which can be massaged to help a team with creative scheduling.

These changes weigh road and home games differently and four RPI groups.

RPI Group 1: Home (1-30) Neutral (1-50) Away (1-75)
RPI Group 2: Home (31-75) Neutral (51-100) Away (76-135)
RPI Group 3: Home (76-160 Neutral (101-200) Away (136-240)
RPI Group 4: Home (161-351) Neutral (201-351)  Away (241-351)

Instead of hearing top 25 or 50 wins (we are guilty of this sine it’s new) the new term will be Group 1, 2, 3 or 4 RPI wins.

Nearly every day we will we look at and update the Mountain West and its NCAA tournament chances using the new RPI and other advanced metrics.

The order below is alphabetically.

 Team Record (D1-only) RPI RPI 1 RPI 2 RPI 3 RPI 4 SOS  KenPom BPI  Sagarin
Air Force 4-5 312 0-1 0-0 0-1 4-3 338 260 262 271
Boise State 8-1  43  0-1  1-0  3-0  4-0 149 61 50 32
Colorado State 4-6 143 0-2 1-3 0-1 3-0 50 173 205 193
Fresno State 7-2 66 0-1 2-1 2-0 3-0 184 64 58 53
Nevada 8-2 14 1-2 0-0 6-0 1-0 33 36 18 20
New Mexico 2-7 219 0-2 0-2 1-3 1-0 47 172 134 203
San Diego State 6-3 79 0-1 2-0 1-1 3-1 99 62 72 24
San Jose State 1-7 342 0-0 0-1 0-5 1-1 288 306 305 318
UNLV 8-2 100 1-2 0-0 0-0 3-0 221  74  74  44
Utah State 5-6 189 0-4 0-0 2-2 3-0 173 138 130 123
Wyoming 603  50  0-1  1-0 2-1  3-1 69 101 140 102

Latest

More MWWire
Home
%d bloggers like this: