Daily NCAA Tournament Projections: Did Boise State’s Win Over Grand Canyon Help?

Did Boise State’s Win Over Grand Canyon Help?


Find out the chances for each Mountain West team to make the NCAA Tournament.


Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire

There is a new way to determine NCAA Tournament bids

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The NCAA Tournament selection committee has made some changes to how they select teams. Gone are the days of only using RPI only to determine fine team is worthy. (Read our intro here)

These changes weigh road and home games differently and four RPI groups, plus KenPom, RPI and BPI are metrics, too.

RPI Group 1: Home (1-30) Neutral (1-50) Away (1-75)
RPI Group 2: Home (31-75) Neutral (51-100) Away (76-135)
RPI Group 3: Home (76-160 Neutral (101-200) Away (136-240)
RPI Group 4: Home (161-351) Neutral (201-351)  Away (241-351)

There was a big game Wednesday night with Boise State hosting WAC darling Grand Canyon and the the Broncos were taken to the brink but ended up winning in double over time to improve to 10-1 (Boise State is 9-1 in D1 games). This victory for Boise State would be considered a Group 4 victory as their RPI is just 199. However, this win gave the Broncos a big jump in the RPI up 12 spots, and its RPI is nearing top-100 status.

Fresno State played Arkansas-Pine Bluff and won last night, but they are RPI 349 and that dropped the Bulldogs from a 66th RPI rating to 111.

The order below is alphabetically.

 Team Record (D1-only) RPI Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4 SOS  KenPom BPI Sagarin
Air Force 4-5 313 0-0 0-1 0-1 4-3 336 264 259 272
Boise State 9-1 30  0-1  1-0 3-0 5-0 118 60 50 33
Colorado State 4-6 147 0-2 0-4 1-0 3-0 50 178 207 209
Fresno State 8-2 111 0-1 2-0 1-1 5-0 271 65 59 54
Nevada 8-2 16 1-2 0-0 4-0 3-0 40 37 19 20
New Mexico 2-7 217 0-1 0-3 1-3 1-0 49 173 133 207
San Diego State 6-3 72 1-1 1-0 1-1 3-1 96 62 73 24
San Jose State 1-7 340 0-0 0-2 0-3 1-2 282 306 305 294
UNLV 8-2 93 1-2 0-0 2-0 5-0 222 73  77  44
Utah State 5-6 202 0-3 0-1 2-2 3-0 186 139 129 123
Wyoming 6-3  50  0-1 1-1 2-0  4-1 86 103 139 92

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