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Mountain West Is Starting To Get Crazy.
Find out the chances for each Mountain West team to make the NCAA Tournament.
Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire
How bad did Nevada’s loss hurt the Mountain West?
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The NCAA Tournament selection committee has made some changes to how they select teams. Gone are the days of only using RPI only to determine which teams are worthy. (Read our intro here)
These changes weigh road and home games differently and four RPI groups, plus KenPom, RPI and BPI are metrics, too.
| RPI Group 1: Home (1-30) | Neutral (1-50) | Away (1-75) |
| RPI Group 2: Home (31-75) | Neutral (51-100) | Away (76-135) |
| RPI Group 3: Home (76-160 | Neutral (101-200) | Away (136-240) |
| RPI Group 4: Home (161-351) | Neutral (201-351) | Away (241-351) |
This article will be transitioning a bit from looking at at-large chances for the Mountain West but will start to focus more on tournament seeding as well. As the calendar is now in mid-February the picture would seem to be more clear but with Nevada and Boise State having five combined losses.
The league is all but a one-bid league partly because of those loses but also due to Boise State and Nevada playing their second game of the year this week. The one way a two-bid league could happen is if Nevada wins out and then some other team topping the Wolf Pack in the conference title game.
Only time will tell but this league has a lot of good teams from three to eight ansd that has been the case with Utath State and UNLV topping Boise State and Nevada.
The order below is alphabetical. (You may need to scroll to the right to see all the rankings)
| Team | Record (D1-only) | RPI | Group 1 | Group 2 | Group 3 | Group 4 | SOS | KenPom | BPI | Sagarin |
| Air Force | 10-13 | 236 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5-3 | 177 | 256 | 279 | 230 |
| Boise State | 20-5 | 37 | 0-2 | 5-3 | 5-0 | 9-0 | 114 | 53 | 54 | 45 |
| Colorado State | 11-16 | 209 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1-6 | 6-1 | 117 | 205 | 228 | 208 |
| Fresno State | 15-8 | 94 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-3 | 9-0 | 107 | 73 | 78 | 89 |
| Nevada | 21-5 | 15 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 10-2 | 5-0 | 55 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| New Mexico | 12-14 | 181 | 0-6 | 2-5 | 2-1 | 7-2 | 101 | 125 | 124 | 147 |
| San Diego State | 13-10 | 131 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4-3 | 6-1 | 121 | 79 | 80 | 87 |
| San Jose State | 3-20 | 308 | 0-3 | 0-5 | 0-7 | 2-5 | 122 | 295 | 311 | 308 |
| UNLV | 18-7 | 117 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 9-1 | 224 | 71 | 82 | 73 |
| Utah State | 13-12 | 127 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 7-1 | 94 | 148 | 133 | 119 |
| Wyoming | 16-9 | 71 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 6-4 | 4-1 | 77 | 118 | 146 | 90 |
