Season Recap Until Now & Odds Of Winning the MWC Conf Title, Tourney

Season Recap Until Now & Odds Of Winning the MWC Conf Title, Tourney

Air Force

Season Recap Until Now & Odds Of Winning the MWC Conf Title, Tourney

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The Air Force Men’s Basketball team got off to a slow start in their 2022-2023 campaign, but the Falcons rebounded in mid-November, putting together three separate winning streaks of three games or more to post a 12-8 record on the year.

Currently, the Falcons are sitting in the middle of the Mountain West Conference with a 3-4 record, three games behind the first-place Boise State Broncos and San Diego State Aztecs. 

When it comes to the Air Force offense, Jake Heidbreder leads the Falcons in scoring this season. The sophomore guard is averaging over 14 points per game (ppg) on 47% shooting. Last season, Heidbreder averaged 10.4 ppg for Air Force, so his 2022-23 season has been an improvement in comparison.

Although Heidbreder is the only player scoring over ten ppg, the Falcons have three others posting a scoring average of over eight ppg. 

Air Force features a deep bench with nine players averaging double-digit minutes of playing time. The deeper bench could provide a betting advantage when they play the Mountain West Conference Tournament from March 8-11 at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

For Air Force die-hards that travel to Vegas and those Falcons fans that enjoy the convenience of Colorado sports betting on their phones back home, the men’s squad should post mid-range odds of winning the Mountain West Conference tourney.

Before 2018, Nevada was the only state where bettors could place a legal wager on the Falcons to win, but that changed in 2018 with the Supreme Court’s ruling that allowed states like Colorado, to control sports betting within their boundaries. 

Currently, the San Diego State Aztecs hold the best odds (-130) at Colorado sportsbooks to win the regular season Mountain West Conference crown. The Falcons check in with 150-1 odds to win the MWC. If the Aztecs have the best regular season record going into the conference tournament, then they will remain heavy favorites to win the postseason event in Vegas.

The Falcons need to focus on getting a first-round bye in the conference tournament. To sneak into that top five in the MWC, they’ll have to defeat some of the top mid-tier teams in the country during the regular season, including Mountain West foes San Diego State, Boise State, Nevada, Utah State, and New Mexico. 

All five teams have posted at least 14 wins on the season and hold odds of 10-1 or lower to win the Mountain West Conference regular season title.

Regardless of their seed in the tournament, Air Force needs to boost a scoring offense that ranks in the bottom fourth of the conference if they want a chance to take the tournament title. The Falcons possess one of the best scoring defenses in the MWC, but the offense hasn’t matched the defensive intensity early in conference games.

Although Air Force could find their way into the top five in the conference to clinch that first-round bye in the tournament, it remains more likely that the Falcons will settle into the bottom half of the seeding. By finishing under the top five in the MWC, the team adds an extra game to their tournament schedule by playing another lower seed on the tourney’s opening day in Las Vegas.

Even if the Falcons defy the odds in Vegas and climb into that top five, they’ll struggle to compete against the top teams in the conference, so look for Air Force to get bumped from the field sometime over the first two days of the tournament.

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