Mountain West Championship: Best Bets
A look at the Mountain West betting odds for the MW Championship
What are the oddsmakers saying about this match up?
Late in the week we will look at odds and recent lines and make our best picks and bets. Odds courtesy of Vegas Insider and inputted at time of writing.
It’s Time! The Broncos host the Bulldogs in the Championship game. We went 3-2-1 last week and are 51-44-1 on the year. A decent week to end the regular season. Now lets look at how each team has done on the year.
against the spread
Both teams are relatively equal when it comes to winning against the spread. Fresno State is 6-6 and Boise State is 6-5-1 with their push coming against New Mexico back in week two. Excluding the push, the Broncos started the season with three losses, then four wins, before alternating wins and losses for the rest of the season. The Bulldogs were kind of all over the place. The opened with a win, but then lost four straight before getting two wins and then alternating for the rest of the season.
Nothing about this road has been easy.
— Fresno State Football 🧸 (@FresnoStateFB) December 2, 2022
When it comes to the over/under, again both teams are realitvely equal. Fresno State was one game better, going 7-5 on the over/under, while Boise State went 6-6. The Bulldogs faltered a little bit when starting QB Jake Haener got hurt, only managing two overs when he was out). But Haener came back to lead the team to four straight overs (five straight overall). The Broncos were back and forth all season. They would start a streak and then go into a different streak right after.
𝘼𝙡𝙡 𝘼𝙘𝙘𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝 𝘼𝙫𝙖𝙡𝙤𝙨@AABroncoHC sits down with @BsuBob to talk about Saturday's championship game versus Fresno State and the importance of Bronco Nation's support. #BleedBlue | @idahosportsmed pic.twitter.com/MR5SdwQXLd
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) November 30, 2022
Finally time to make some picks.
Fresno State @ Boise State (-3, O/U 54.5)
This will be a completely different game to their week six matchup. Jake Haener starts for the Bulldogs and Taylen Green has eight games under his belt instead of one. Neither team will roll in with a momentum advantage, but the Bulldogs will be coming in off a 30-0 shutout over Wyoming.
Against the spread, Boise State feels like the better pick. The offense has been huming along. The defense has been stout, as they are a top ten defense in the country. The Bulldogs have been moving the ball comfortably the past couple of weeks, but will run into the buzzsaw that is the Broncos defense.
On the over/under, the over feels like the better bet here. Both teams are averaging 30 points a game and about 400 yards per game. It’s going to come down to defense and I don’t think they will hold. The offenses are going to get the last word in this one.
Picks: Boise State -3, Over