Mountain West Basketball: Championship Week Bracket Projections

Mountain West Basketball: Championship Week Bracket Projections

Colorado State

Mountain West Basketball: Championship Week Bracket Projections


Mountain West Basketball: Final Bracket Projections

Four bids, the Mountain West deserves this. 

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We’re here folks, the final bracketology update for the season before Selection Sunday. 

At the onset of the 2022 Mountain West basketball tournament in Las Vegas teams are primed and ready. With Selection Sunday this weekend on March 13th and almost a week away are the First Four matchups of the NCAA Tournament on the 15th and 16th in Dayton. Fans around the Mountain West have stayed honed in this conference’s multi-bid hopes all season, and now they are about to get rewarded.

Colorado State has cracked the top-25 this week for the first time since January 3rd. After losing to UNLV for the second time this season in mid-February. The No. 23 ranked Rams finished the regular season out with a three game winning streak and securing their second win over regular season champions Boise State. to have fallen out of favor with AP Top-25 Poll voters at the moment. While Boise State (49 votes) and San Diego State (26) both received votes in the latest rankings.

Games Last Week 

Monday February 28th

SDSU 73, Wyoming 66

Fresno State 71, New Mexico 68

Tuesday March 1st

Boise State 73, Nevada 67

Air Force 58, San Jose State 54

Wednesday March 2nd

UNLV 64, Wyoming 57

Thursday March 3rd

San Diego State 65, Fresno State 64-2OT

Friday March 4th

Utah State 75 San Jose State 52

Saturday March 5th

Wyoming 68, Fresno State 64-OT

Colorado State 71, Boise State 68

San Diego State 79, Nevada 78

New Mexico 76, UNLV 67

2022 Mountain West Tournament Picks, Projections

In the final regular season KenPom and NET rankings of the year, here is where the Mountain West stands.

There are only three ranked in KenPom’s top-50 but a season high seven teams seven teams total in the top-100. While in the NCAA’s latest NET rankings there are four programs in the top-50 and seven in the top-100 as well.

All of this has led to some very exciting representation among the industry’s most trusted bracketologists’ projections this past week.

Mountain West Conference KenPom Rankings

23-San Diego State

26-Boise State

34-Colorado State

53-Utah State


62-Fresno State



151-New Mexico

253-Air Force

292-San Jose State

Mountain West Conference NET Rankings

28-Colorado State

29-San Diego State

30-Boise State


63-Utah State

69-Fresno State



154-New Mexico

253-Air Force

298-San Jose State

The big dance bid glory days for the Mountain West will always be the 2012-2013 season. That year the conference had five teams go dancing, since then the highest total teams sent was three, two seasons later.

CBS SportsPublished March 8th, 2021

Total Teams: 4

No. 6 Seed-Colorado State

No. 8 Seed-Boise State

No. 9 Seed-Wyoming

No. 9 Seed-San Diego State

CBS Bracketologist Jerry Palm predicts a four-bid all single seeded Mountain West at the moment. With Colorado State predicted to receive the highest seed at No. 6 with several quality wins in conference play in the past few weeks. Palm is also one of the few writers included to not shove Wyoming out into double digit Last Four In designation this past week. In short, i’m hoping for this on Sunday.

ESPNPublished March. 8th, 2021

Total Teams: 4

No. 7 Seed- Boise State (Automatic Qualifier)

No. 7 Seed-Colorado State

No. 9 Seed-San Diego State

No. 12 Seed-Wyoming

ESPN’s Joe Lunardi features an automatic qualified designation which, he has given to the Mountain West Conference regular season Champion Boise State. That still has to be proven in Las Vegas starting tomorrow against either Nevada or New Mexico.

San Diego State rose three spots in this updated prediction. Going from a No. 12 Last Four in selection with a very solid last week to the regular season. While Wyoming dropped from a No. 9 seed to a No. 12 and last four in designation after dropping 2 out of three games last week.

Heat Check CBBPublished March 8th, 2021

Total Teams: 4

No. 6 Seed-Colorado State

No. 7 Seed-Boise State

No. 8 Seed-San Diego State

No. 11 Seed-Wyoming

The guys over at Heat Check CBB continue to put out great content and tools like their Tournament Index Ratings. This week Lukas Harkins like others gave the highest seed possible to Colorado State (No. 6) while also keeping Wyoming as a predicted at-large bid but as a No. 11 seed.

Sports IllustratedPublished March 1st, 2021

Total Teams: 4

No. 7 Seed-Boise State

No. 6 Seed-Colorado State

No. 9 Seed-San Diego State

No. 12 Seed-Wyoming (Last Four In)

Kevin Sweeney’s recent bracketology update pegs a grand total of four teams projected to make the NCAA Tournament by the Sports Illustrated staff writer.

Essentially Kevin swapped the San Diego State double digit seeding and Last Four In designations with Wyoming this past week after the Aztecs regained their late season form with several quality wins this past week as the Cowboys dropped some games.

Bracket Matrix Composite-Updated on March 8th

Total Teams: 4

No. 7 Seed-Colorado State (Avg. 6.77)

No. 8 Seed-Boise State (Avg. 7.84)

No. 9 Seed-San Diego State (Avg. 8.73)

No. 12 Seed-Wyoming (Avg. 11.08)

Bracket Matrix does a great job of giving out a composite seed from nearly eighty different voices and bracketologists around the country. Like others on this update, the Wyoming love has faded just a bit this past week with some losses on the Cowboy’s schedule.

A four-bid Mountain West Conference

A “record” breaking big dance for the Mountain West is coming to fruition before our eyes. With three teams, that is still the ceiling to meet and possibly beat this season. But week after week teams in this conference looks more favorable to secure their spots in the big dance every week.

With most bracketologists predicting four teams in and most pegging them all to receive single seeds, I’m very hopeful.

Here’s to FOUR tickets punched, finger crossed.

Larry Muniz covers college basketball as a writer for Mountain West Wire and WAC Hoops Digest. Also as a co-host of the college basketball podcast “Hoops Talk W/Jay & Larry”. He is also a USWBA Member.


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