Mountain West Football Championship Game Betting History
Who has the edge when looking back?
Is SDSU in trouble
The 2021 Mountain West football title game is just a day away but now is as good time as any to look back at how the results turned out when looking at the betting lines.
Currently, San Diego State is a six-point favorite which sounds good but when looking at it from a betting angle, it might be best to go with the Utah State Aggies.
The Mountain West title game has been around since 2013 and while the favorite is a nice 6-2 straight up which bodes well for the Aztecs to make it to the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl, but if you are looking to make a few bucks on this game it is the underdog that has the edge at 6-2.
This line is just six points and the way the Aztecs are built, there likely won’t be a lot of points scored on Saturday. Plus, with this game being at a quasi-neutral site the six points is even more enticing to take the Aggies.
Another reason to think Utah State will continue the trend to cover is that this year, the Aggies are 5-1 against the spread as an underdog, 3-0 as an away underdog and 4-2 as an underdog. Whereas San Diego State is 2-4-1 as the favorite and 2-2 at home.
The Aztecs aren’t a high-scoring team and that could make the difference in bettors going with the Aggies to cover this game. San Diego State is averaging 27.7 points per game and that is nearly a touchdown less than Utah State which puts up 32.2.
Obviously, defensively it is flipped with San Diego State allowing just 17.2 points per game as one of the best in all of FBS, so it will be a challenge for the Aggies to put up points.
Go whichever way you want, but history is a good indicator of how this game will go as is the trends seen from both San Diego State and Utah State. Odds point to the Aggies covering but not winning, well, maybe.