New Mexico vs. Colorado State: Game Preview, Keys For A Lobos Win, How to Watch, Livestream, Prediction
Who will be QB for New Mexico
Can Lobos get it done?
WEEK 7: New Mexico Lobos (2-4, 0-2 Mountain West) vs Colorado State Rams (2-3, 1-0 Mountain West)
WHEN: Saturday, October 16th — 5:00 PM MT/4:00 PM PT
WHERE: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
RADIO: The New Mexico broadcast can be found in and around the Albuquerque area on 96.3 FM 77KOB The Colorado State broadcast can be found in and around the Fort Collins area on 102.9 FM.
SERIES RECORD: This will be the 68th all-time matchup between the two schools. CSU leads the series 42-25. The Rams won the last matchup in 2019, 35-21, in Albuquerque.
LAST WEEK: New Mexico fell to San Diego State 31-7; Colorado State beat San Jose State 32-14
ODDS (as of 10/14, via Vegas Insider): Colorado State -10.5
SP+ PROJECTION: Colorado State by 6.3
FEI PROJECTION: Colorado State by 12.7
This Saturday on Stadium, a @MountainWest showdown!
— Stadium (@Stadium) October 14, 2021
In this MW Conference matchup, the Colorado State Rams head to Albuquerque to take on the UNM Lobos at University Stadium.
The Lobos will be looking for their first win over the Rams since 2009 when UNM hit a walk-off field 27-yard goal by James Aho under Mike Locksley.
The Lobos have been close, losing ten straight, but five of those were within a score, and this has always been a close game if you look at the history.
Head coach Danny Gonzales is looking for his first MWC win against the Rams as the Lobos are hoping to get the lackluster offense back on track.
The starting quarterback will be a game-time decision as Lobo Quarterback Terry Wilson was injured dislocating his elbow against the San Diego State Aztecs last week.
Gonzales has said he will most likely turn to true freshman C.J. Montes as the Lobos second QB Trae Hall is not the Lobos slot receiver.
“He’s going to be a very good quarterback for us. He is very smart and fearless. He will screw some things up and just go, “OK, I’ll fix that,” and that’s what you want. You want the water to roll off down their back.”
— New Mexico Football (@UNMLoboFB) October 15, 2021
Three Keys to a Lobo’s Victory
1. Protect the QB
It will be interesting to see who the Lobo starting Lobo Quarterback is this Saturday for OC Derek Warehime offense will be against the Rams.
So more than likely, depending on this quarterback, Rams Defensive Coordinator Chuck Heaters will scheme against the Lobos.
Every quarterback has both strength and weakness, so if it’s Wilson, he will be playing with a brace on his non-throwing arm, or it’s very athletic true freshman CJ Montes.
The Lobo offense needs to prepare to protect this freshman’s in passing downs as you can bet your bottom dollar the Rams will apply heavy pressure to frustrate and contain CJ Montes.
The Lobo offense struggling is the understatement of the year, as they have scored only 23 points in the last four games, so the Lobos must capitalize on each possession to score points.
Some of the offensive players who have stood out in games for this offense are pretty young players.
Luke Wysong leads the Lobos with 21 catches for 222 yards, while Mannie Logan-Greene and Andrew Erickson have 100+ receiving yards.
This week, Mannie Logan-Greene is out because of an injury, so other young players must step up and make plays for the Lobos.
This Lobo offense must find its way at some point this year to move the chains on sustained drives and score points. Lobo offensive coordinator Derek Warehime will be using five true freshmen in Montes, Wysong, Keyonta Lanier, Aaron Dumas and Shanacco “Ise” Matautia.
The Lobos have talent on the roster to compete but just have not put a full four quarters of consistent play to make big plays to win games.
Colorado State’s defense is starting to round into form as they have held each team under 300 yards in their past three games, so this will be a challenge to the Lobo offense.
2. The defense must play lights out
The Rams have had 200 yards in the last three games and looked very balanced the previous week with over 449 yards total offense, 232 passing, 217 rushing yards.
This Rocky Long 3-3-5 defense has a knack for applying pressure from different angles; it is usually good at stopping the rushing attacks or slowing offenses down.
What would be huge for the Lobo defense would be the Lobo offense staying on the field to give them rest when needed, as has not been the case this year.
This week, Long got some excellent news, as in that Reco Hannah could return to the starting lineup for the Lobo defense.
This Long defense having Hannah and Joey Noble, who has played lights out this year, should help this Long defense.
Tavian Combes leads the Lobos defense with 50 total tackles, Jerrick Reed II has 47 total tackles, and Joey Noble has a team-high three sacks. So Combes, Reed, and Noble are flat out making tackles for the Lobos and all need to have big games to stop this rising Ram offense for the Lobos to have hopes of a victory.
3. Stop hurting yourself with dumb penalties.
The Lobos must stop with the untimely and “shoot yourself in the foot” silly or unnecessary penalties that kill the team’s momentum.
Danny Gonzales, after last week’s loss, “The things we can fix are not being dumb, we have too many penalties in insignificant plays hurting us… you get a personal foul for standing over a guy; that’s selfish and undisciplined football.”
You must play disciplined and smart football games to win games when you are not the most talented team as far as a roster with 2-3 star recruits.
I have been able to watch these two teams battled back in 1997 WAC Championship games as a Lobo dad; my son Daniel Torza played with now head coach Danny Gonzales for Dennis Franchione and later Rocky Long.
I was also blessed under then head Coach Rocky Long as the volunteer team chaplain to watch the Lobos and Rams battle it out from the sideline either in Albuquerque or the now old Hughes Stadium in Fort Collins.
When these two teams play, you can throw out the numbers; they battle to the end and often come to a last-second field or score to decide the victor.
It can be a very physical and old fashion smash-mouthed football game as well.
I will go out a limb on this day that former Lobo running back great Dontrell Moore is inducted in the Lobo ring of alongside former Lobo great Brian Urlacher, the Lobos who gets a victory and breaks the ten game winning streak of the Rams.
UNM 24, CSU 20