This one is probably too close to call because both teams have been good enough at finishing drives that neither kicker has had much cause for a lot of big kicks. Jonah Dalmas is 5-for-5 on field goal tries, though his longest attempt is just 42 yards and that happens to be his only try from beyond 40. Matt Mercurio is 5-of-6 after going 20-of-24 as a freshman last fall, though his longest try this year is from 35 yards away.
One thing that sways the push, though: Touchback percentage. Joel Velazquez has forced opponents to start from the 25-yard line on 20 of 27 tries while Chris Wood has done so on just two of 31 kicks. Advantage: Boise State
Neither team has really covered themselves in glory here, though Elijah Fischer has had a fine freshman year all things considered. He owns the edge on the duo of Velazquez and Gavin Wale in average punt distance, punts inside the 20, 50-yard punts, and fair catches.
Fischer has also given the Spartans a potentially substantial edge in net punting over the course of 2020, where the Broncos currently rank 121st in the country, so despite the open question of how San Jose State will handle Avery Williams, he’s pretty clear the pick. Advantage: San Jose State
Kick returner/Punt returner
No disrespect to Shamar Garrett and Kenyon Reed, but Avery Williams is the difference maker here. All three have the potential to give the championship game a monster swing in momentum, but the Broncos win out here because, well, they’ve done so a little more often throughout the fall. It’s a hard thing to predict, but no one will be shocked if Boise State gets another special teams touchdown at some point thanks to the two-time Special Teams Player of the Year. Advantage: Boise State