New Mexico vs. Hawaii: Keys For A Lobos Win
Being a big home underdog is not good for the Lobos
Can New Mexico pull off the upset?
When: Saturday October 26, 2019 @ 2:00pm MT 10:00am HT
Where: Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM
Video Stream: Facebook (US Mainland) Spectrum Sports for Hawaii fans
Radio: Lobo Radio Network 77 AM/94.5FM
Series Record/Last Meeting: UH leads 14-10 last game 1983-1991, Hawaii beat the Lobos nine-consecutive times. From 1993-present, the Lobos have beaten the Warriors seven-consecutive times. The most recent contest was in Honolulu, where the Lobos won 28-21.
Odds: Hawai’i by -10
Can the Lobos stop the bleeding ad score points and play defense?
Well, this year for New Mexico football team has not been a picnic for the coaching staff, the players, and fans in Lobo nation.
Great young athletes in the classroom as far as high GPAs are concerned, but on the gridiron has been a grueling year for Bob Davie’s Lobos.
Starting the year with possibly their best defensive player at nose guard Aaron Blackwell going down to a season-ending injury, no consistency at the quarterback position, and bad secondary play by the Lobo defense, all of this has spelled trouble for New Mexico
The Lobos rank absolute dead last in pass defense. 130th They’re conceding 348 passing yards per game. In all fairness to new defensive coordinator,Jordan Peterson’s defense has finally started to turn the corner as far as doing a solid job against the run lately.
This, with some injuries to key JUCO players and now the Lobo secondary is filled with my young players with minimal game experience. However, this Hawaii pass offense is one of the most potent in the country and will cauase fits for New Mexico.
They had a ver
y good game as far as minimizing the powerful run offense of the Wyoming Cowboys last week. Good thing for New Mexico that that the Warriors rushing attack is bad.
New Mexico is about to face a very hungry Rainbow Warrior team that has lost two straight games with a possible first-round draft pick (per Bob Davie)
Hawaii’s Cold McDonald is that good, hence this offense being ranked third in the country, mostly off of the passing attack.
This Hawaii offense is averaging 35.4 points per game thanks to the third-best passing attack in the country, averaging 359 yards per game.
Combine a defense that is dead last in passing coverage in FBS college football and a top-ranked run and shoot offense, a potential NFL draft pick, and you are going to get lots of points scored on you if you’re not careful.
Especially with the Lobos, 3-3-5 a defense were the cornerbacks and safety are in man coverage a lot. The Lobos can not afford to rush without blitzing a heck of a lot.
Keys for a New Mexico win
1. The Lobos must contain Cole Mcdonald.
It there was ever a game that Defensive Coordinator Jodan Peterson has to be aggressive, it this one. I mean If he does not blitz Mcdonald and put pressure on him, and I mean a lot of blitzing, it will be a long day for the Lobo secondary.
Mcdonald has completed 66.4 percent of his passes for 2.284 yards, 23 touchdowns, and ten interceptions. If he has time to throw the football, he will eat this secondary for lunch.
Yes, Blitzing can be a double-edged sword as your defense is primarily in man coverage, but would you rather Mcdonald have time or have to throw quickly?
2. QB Tavaka Tuioti must have a great game, score touchdowns, and stay healthy.
Tuioti has shown in the past that when he is on, he is on when it comes to leading this Lobo offense. You can see it when he is on the field, with the offensive line playing better, his accurate throwing and good reads or instincts.
So. that leaves redshirt freshman Trae Hall is Tuiotis backup and has one snap in college football.
3. The Lobos must win the battle of the trenches on both sides of the ball.
All football games are won on the line of scrimmage. The offensive line has done a good job of protecting the quarterback this year and running the ball, averaging 212.3 yards per game.
But is the defensive front for the Lobos that have to have a great game and play both physical make tackles behind the line of scrimmage.
The Rainbow Warriors have lost their last two games since going 4-1 and will come in trying to snap their seven straight losing streak and lots to play for postseason play.
With the Lobo secondary giving up over 348 passing yards, you can get they are licking their chops with this offense and the great quarterback they have.
Their defense is a bit suspect and can give up points, and the Lobos offense under Joe Dailey will more than likely have something up their sleeve with Tuiotia at the helm.
It should be a very entertaining game with lots of points score and not much defense if history is any indication.
If the Lobos hope to have a chance of getting this victory, they must disrupt the Rainbows great passing game or else it could be a long night at DreamStyle Stadium in Albuquerque.
If the Lobos want to give themselves a chance to extend their winning streak, they will need to figure out a way to disrupt Hawaii’s passing game and force the quarterback to make a few costly mistakes.