NCAA Tournament Projections: Who Is A Good Bet?

NCAA Tournament Projections: Who Is A Good Bet?

Air Force

NCAA Tournament Projections: Who Is A Good Bet?


NCAA Tournament Projections: Who Is A Good Bet?


Find out the chances for each Mountain West team to make the NCAA Tournament.


Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire

There is a new way to determine NCAA Tournament bids

The NCAA Tournament selection committee has made some changes to how they select teams. Gone are the days of only using RPI only to determine which teams are worthy. (Read our intro here)

These changes weigh road and home games differently and four RPI groups, plus KenPom, RPI and BPI are metrics, too.

RPI Group 1: Home (1-30) Neutral (1-50) Away (1-75)
RPI Group 2: Home (31-75) Neutral (51-100) Away (76-135)
RPI Group 3: Home (76-160 Neutral (101-200) Away (136-240)
RPI Group 4: Home (161-351) Neutral (201-351)  Away (241-351)

The order below is alphabetically. (You may need to scroll to the right to see all the rankings)

 Team Record (D1-only) RPI Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4 SOS  KenPom BPI Sagarin
Air Force 4-8 318 0-0 0-1 0-3 4-4 336 301 296 291
Boise State 11-2 27  0-1 3-1 2-0 6-0 69 59 56 37
Colorado State 7-8 138 0-5 0-3 2-0 5-0 67 193 234 180
Fresno State 9-4 155 0-2 0-0 3-2 6-0 248 82 77 107
Nevada 13-3 17 1-2 2-0 6-1 4-0 40 29 19 23
New Mexico 5-9 210 0-4 0-3 1-1 4-1 68 171 139 184
San Diego State 9-4 51 0-2 3-0 2-1 4-1 51 61 70 34
San Jose State 2-10 302 0-0 0-1 0-8 2-1 228 296 292 287
UNLV 11-3 114 1-2 0-1 4-0 6-0 236 67 62  36
Utah State 7-7 219 0-3 0-2 2-1 5-1 259 146 129 147
Wyoming 9-4  75 0-1 3-1 1-1  5-1 94 104 156 85

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