NCAA Tournament Projections: Nevada, Boise State Only Undefeated Mountain West Teams

NCAA Tournament Projections: Nevada, Boise State Only Undefeated Mountain West Teams

Wyoming

NCAA Tournament Projections: Nevada, Boise State Only Undefeated Mountain West Teams


NCAA Tournament Projections: Nevada, Boise State Only Undefeated Mountain West Teams


Find out the chances for each Mountain West team to make the NCAA Tournament.


Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire

There is a new way to determine NCAA Tournament bids

The NCAA Tournament selection committee has made some changes to how they select teams. Gone are the days of only using RPI only to determine which teams are worthy. (Read our intro here)

These changes weigh road and home games differently and four RPI groups, plus KenPom, RPI and BPI are metrics, too.

RPI Group 1: Home (1-30) Neutral (1-50) Away (1-75)
RPI Group 2: Home (31-75) Neutral (51-100) Away (76-135)
RPI Group 3: Home (76-160 Neutral (101-200) Away (136-240)
RPI Group 4: Home (161-351) Neutral (201-351)  Away (241-351)

League play started its second week and there are now just two undefeated teams with Boise State and Nevada with wins over New Mexico and Wyoming, respectively.

These two teams are on a collision course with zeros in the loss column on January 20th in Reno. The Broncos and Wolf Pack look to be the two best bets of an at-large spot. UNLV is struggling and barely defeated San Jose State on the road and that followed a loss to Boise State at home.

We may have been a bit too early denouncing San Diego State but the Wyoming and Cal losses are bad, but the Aztecs have chances vs. Boise State and Nevada later this year.

The order below is alphabetically. (You may need to scroll to the right to see all the rankings)

 Team Record (D1-only) RPI Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4 SOS KenPom BPI Sagarin
Air Force 4-8 317 0-0 0-1 0-3 4-4 336 297 296 291
Boise State 12-2 28  0-1 3-1 2-0 7-0 91 53 56 37
Colorado State 7-8 141 0-5 0-2 2-1 5-0 68 196 234 180
Fresno State 9-5 163 0-2 0-0 3-3 6-0 248 87 77 107
Nevada 14-3 14 1-2 2-0 7-1 4-0 40 36 19 23
New Mexico 5-10 200 0-5 0-3 1-1 4-1 45 173 139 184
San Diego State 9-4 48 1-2 2-0 2-1 4-1 48 55 70 34
San Jose State 2-11 291 0-0 0-1 0-9 2-1 179 295 292 287
UNLV 12-3 114 1-2 0-1 4-0 7-0 256 77 62  36
Utah State 8-7 199 0-3 0-1 2-2 6-1 238 151 129 147
Wyoming 9-5  72 0-2 3-1 2-1  4-1 66 99 156 85

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